News 
 Local News 
 News 
 General 
 New year time to buy property, mortgage broker 

New year time to buy property, mortgage broker

02 Jan, 2009 01:05 PM
Australians could find 2009 an opportune time to buy property, but they should not expect a swift recovery in housing prices.

Loan Market Group executive director John Kolenda says low interest rates and subdued property prices combined with government initiatives have made entering the property market easier, particularly for first home buyers.

Australian policy makers have provided stimulatory measures in the second half of 2008 to boost the domestic economy.

Since September, the Reserve Bank of Australia has cut the cash rate by three percentage points to a seven-year-low of 4.25 per cent.

In October, the Federal Government doubled the first home owners grant to $14,000 and increased it to $21,000 for buying or building a new home.

Debt futures markets are pricing the cash rate to be as low as 2.5 per cent in June, while many market economists predict at least another one percentage point cut in total by the central bank.

"Despite the global economic uncertainty, the conditions in Australia for those seeking to enter the property market are ideal," Mr Kolenda said.

"Mortgage holders in the coming year are likely to benefit from the lowest variable interest rates ever offered in Australia as the cash rate could fall to 2.5 per cent."

House prices have been sluggish across the eight capital cities in the past two quarters, down 1.8 per cent in the September quarter, the Australian Bureau of Statistics' (ABS) said.

This followed a 0.2 per cent drop in the June quarter.

CommSec chief economist Craig James said property prices would rise moderately this year due to an undersupply of housing.

"Overall, national housing prices are tipped to grow by three to five per cent over 2009 with major variations across the regions," Mr James said.

Mr Kolenda said the rise in the grant had stimulated interest in the lower half of the housing market.

"These concessions will continue for the first half of 2009, while we also expect to see home mortgage rates fall further, encouraging a variety of buyers, including Australians returning from overseas," he said.

The peak home building body, the Housing Industry Association (HIA), forecasted a recovery in the property market in the second half of 2009.

"We will be into 2009, possibly some months through, before these lower interest rates translate into a significant stimulus to housing sector expenditure," HIA chief economist Harley Dale said.

Print
Increase Text Size
Decrease Text Size



comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Since when is a mortgage broker an expert? Trying to increase sales = more loans = more trail. Try & get an unbiased opinion - HIA is in the same boat. Can Comsec explain why housing prices v income are at their greatest multiple ever & why that is sustainable in an environment where people are losing, or have the fear of losing, their jobs, let alone bonuses or prospects for promotion & salary increases? When this is feeds into confidence levels, you can't 'leverage' as high as previously as expectations of income are reduced - further, lack of liquidity in the market increases, as finance is harder to obtain. Using other people's money isn't as easy as before and reflects the environment we are entering - where prices fall further. The slowing in the amount of sales for the last 6m is a reflection of the vendors not meeting the market - in the next 6m, you will begin to see this occur.
Posted by AO, 4/01/2009 3:00:58 PM

post a comment


Screen name  *
Email address  *
Remember me?
Comment  *
 
We invite and encourage our readers to post comments. Comments are moderated and will appear as soon as our editor has approved them. When posting comments you agree to be bound by our Terms and Conditions.

Most popular articles

Indaily
1) Apple iPhone 4 32GB44 plans 12%
2) Apple iPhone 4 16GB44 plans 6%
3) HTC Desire4 plans 2%
4) Apple iPhone 3GS 8GB33 plans 2%
5) Sony Ericsson Xperia X10 Mini Pro37 plans 1%

Mobile Phones | Broadband Plans

Get the best deal at Fairfax Digital - Rural Press



The Independent Weekly







Weather brought to you by:

Weatherzone

Navigate

Classifieds

More Ways to Read

Front Page

Current Issue
Privacy Policy | Conditions of Use | Advertising Terms | Copyright © 2010. Fairfax Media.
 SEND...
 SAVE...
 SHARE...